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Tennessee Titans are tonight’s free pick…

December 9, 2010 in Free Picks, Week 14

NFL Picks Pro WebsiteCheck out the Colts vs Titans free play at NFLPicksPro.

TENNESSEE (+3.5) vs. INDIANAPOLIS

The whole world is already on a desperate Colts team as they “need” this one to stay in the playoff picture, but the Titans are no pushover. Indy comes in favored, but has no ground attack – Donald Brown has done very little – and they barely have enough players to field a team. The Titans can defend the pass well, and Chris Johnson will look to finally get rolling again against a soft Indy rush defense. It can tough pick a team that’s lost 5 straight, especially when they’re up against a perrenial contender like Indy, but… you got to have guts and go against the flow sometimes. It helps when you’ve got Chris Johnson (have you seen the Colt’s run D?), home field, and 3.5 points. Pick: Titans

S.Tulloch solo+assisted tackles un 10½ (-110):
Tulloch has put up two huge games in the last couple weeks, as the Titans offense was crumbling, but he was facing run dominant teams Houston and Jax. Tackle props are all about opportunities and value (my motto), and Indy just doesn’t give opposing LBs much opportunity to stack up stats. Double digits is a big number in the best situations, so I don’t mind the price either.

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Titans vs Colts – Pointspread Free Pick

December 8, 2010 in Week 14

byBetUs Handicapper Nick Meyer Reggie Wayne

The Colts and Titans are both reeling but both have talented rosters which could lead to a classic Thursday night  game between the two.

With close odds, betting fans are expecting another photo finish and the hope for Indianapolis is that Peyton Manning doesn’t throw any more game-changing interceptions.
But Manning has bounced back before. Can he do it again Thursday night?

Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans

8:20 pm Thursday
Betting Line: Indianapolis favored at -3.

The Colts had some serious turnover problems in the last game, a surprising home loss to Dallas in which Peyton Manning threw an interception that led to Dallas’ game-winning field goal in overtime.

Manning is working with a ragtag group of receivers and tight ends, but they are talented. The football predictions nation knows that the Colts’ offense is still deadly despite those injuries and injuries in the offensive backfield, and Manning and co. showed it last week with four TD drives of 60+ yards.

The Titans have not fared well against the pass and have had their own problems on offense as well.

Chris Johnson is not getting the holes in the run game he once had and Tennessee has not scored a whole lot of points.

The football predictions underdog Titans have their hands full in this one and even if they are able to go toe-to-toe with the high-powered Colts, disaster could still be lurking:

Tennessee is one of the most highly-penalized teams in the NFL.

The action so far this week has been moving towards the Colts in this battle of two former Super Bowl contenders who are trying to salvage some hope in the playoff race, but it’s hard to bet against a team with a Hall-of-Fame quarterback like the football predictions Colts in a game like this.

Tennessee will battle but Indianapolis should win this one by a touchdown or more as long as Manning is on the same page with his receivers, takes what the defense gives him and doesn’t try to do too much like last week.

Tennessee doesn’t have the same pass-rushing threat that the Cowboys do and that will also be a big difference.

Football predictions pick: Indianapolis (-3).

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Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans Betting Trends

December 8, 2010 in Week 14

Chris Johnson

Can Chris Johnson drive a stake into the Colts season

Here’s some betting trends to consider while handicapping the Thursday night game.  I’m not a huge fan of trends. Sure, some are very important, but its easy to get bogged down or rely on meaningless numbers.  In my opinion, you should use trends to support your theory/pick,  not as the main reason for it.

As I warned yesterday… the Colts have moved to a -3.5 favorite, that extra half point is significant, but it hasn’t slowed down the public from supporting Peyton and Co.  If you’re considering the Titans, you should sit tight and see if the line goes to +5.

Current streak:

  • Indianapolis has lost 3 straight games.
  • Tennessee has lost 5 straight games.

Team records:

  • Indianapolis: 6-6 SU, 6-6 ATS
  • Tennessee: 5-7 SU, 5-7 ATS

Indianapolis most recently:

  • When playing in December are 7-3
  • When playing on grass are 6-4
  • After outgaining opponent are 6-4
  • When playing within the division are 8-2

Tennessee most recently:

  • When playing in December are 5-5
  • When playing on grass are 3-7
  • After being outgained are 4-6
  • When playing within the division are 3-7

A few trends to consider:

  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indianapolis’s last 10 games when playing Tennessee
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indianapolis’s last 9 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
  • Indianapolis is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Tennessee
  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tennessee’s last 10 games when playing Indianapolis
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee’s last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee’s last 9 games at home
  • Tennessee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

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Titans vs Dolphins Pointspread Free Pick

November 13, 2010 in Free Picks

Titans Free PickNFL odds makers know that it was one month ago that wide receiver Randy Moss walked off the field at Sun Life Stadium without a single reception beside his name on the score sheet for the first time since 2006. Then, he was a member of the New England Patriots. Four weeks and two teams later, Moss is set to chase that reception in his debut for the Tennessee Titans against the Miami Dolphins.

Tennessee Titans @ Miami Dolphins

Sunday November 14, 2010 – 1:00 PM ET
Sun Life Stadium, Miami, Florida
Broadcast: CBS
NFL Odds: Titans -2, Dolphins +2
Total: 42.5

The Dolphins are still searching for consistency after splitting their four games since the bye week, including last weekend’s 26-10 loss to the Baltimore Ravens. They’ll look to get back on track against one of the team’s they are chasing for an AFC Wild Card in the 5-3 Titans, who are also looking to rebound following a 33-25 loss to the San Diego Chargers.

NFL Odds: What The Titans Will Have To Do To Win?

Although it seems that the majority of talk about the offense is centered around the play of quarterback Vince Young, this unit is built around the talents of running back Chris Johnson, who has averaged 4.1 yards per carry with eight touchdowns this season. The Titans will need to get Johnson more touches after the Pro Bowl rusher was held to just 59 yards, and that will be a challenge against a solid run defense in Miami. When Tennessee does try to move the ball in the air, Moss will need to step right in and contribute, especially considering the injuries to the team’s receiving core.

NFL Odds: What The Dolphins Will Have To Do To Win?

Miami ranks near the middle of the league against both the run and pass, and will need to be particularly strong against the rush with the Titans looking to get Johnson more touches. Despite being at the .500-mark to this point in the season, the Dolphins are still winless at home through three games and will need to get a faster start. Running backs Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams have averaged 4.3 yards per carry to this point in the season, but have combined for just three touchdowns to this point. Miami will need more production from its backs as the team struggles to find an identity in the passing game.  And… Brandon Marshall must win his battle against Courtland Finnegan.

NFL Odds: Outlook & Pick

It may take some time before Young and Moss develop the chemistry needed to take advantage of both of their talents. While most coaches might force the issue with their latest acquisition, head coach Jeff Fisher understands it will take time before Moss finds his rhythm, and will give the ball to Johnson to get the job done. Miami has been inconsistent all season, and that will continue until the team establishes a firmer identity on offense.

NFL Free Pick: Titans – 7

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