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Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Free Pick

December 23, 2011 in Free Picks, Guest Blogger

Jordy Nelson

Can Jordy Nelson put up big numbers against the Bears? You BET he can.

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So we know that the Green Bay Packers will not get the chance to keep their dreams of a perfect season alive this Christmas, but they have to still be feeling happy with the presents under their tree in comparison with the lump of coal that the Chicago Bears could serve up to their fans. The struggling Bears have lost four straight to fall two games back of the final NFC Wild Card spot, and another loss as sports betting underdogs against their biggest rivals will ensure that they don’t get a shot at the playoffs this year, unless both the Detroit Lions and Atlanta Falcons win on Saturday to guarantee they won’t make it.

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers

Sunday December 25, 2011 – 8:30 PM ET
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
NFL Betting Lines: Green Bay Packers – 13

While many are calling the first loss of the season a blessing in disguise for the defending Super Bowl champion Packers, the fact that Chicago head coach Lovie Smith continues to give Caleb Hanie his blessing as their starter could lead to his eventual release. Despite a number of capable veteran arms available around the league, Smith decided to stick with Hanie after Jay Cutler was injured, and the result has been one of the biggest collapses of the NFL season.

Bet Bears Packers Preview: Chicago Bears

In four starts this season for Chicago, Hanie has thrown just three touchdowns in comparison with nine interceptions, and still hasn’t clinched a single win. The loss of running back Matt Forte hasn’t helped the Bears’ offense, which has managed to hit the 20-point mark in just one of their four straight losses. While the Chicago defense was able to keep them in games early on, they were absolutely routed by the Seattle Seahawks in a 24-point loss last Sunday, and could be suffering from a tough morale hit following their collapse against Tim Tebow and the Denver Broncos the week before last.

Bet Bears Packers Preview: Green Bay Packers

There is no denying that the Packers have been the best team in football all year, but their loss to the Chiefs does raise some concerns. The point has been made that the Green Bay offensive line was banged up, as was wide receiver Greg Jennings, but the fact is that the Kansas City defense was able to get far too much pressure on quarterback Aaron Rodgers, and the Green Bay defense was not able to make plays in power formations. The Packers’ defense is used to Rodgers and the offense putting up a ton of points and forcing the opposition team to score, but if they do not get the ball and are forced to face power sets in the run defense, they could be in trouble.

Bet Bears Packers Preview: Outlook & Pick

Even with their vulnerabilities it is hard to imagine that the Packers won’t be able to at least cover the two-touchdown sportsbook spread against a Chicago team that just lost by 24 to the Seahawks. Green Bay is a proud team with a roster that burns to win every game, and they will make a statement as they bounce back this week with a big win.

Bet Bears Packers Pick: Green Bay Packers

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NFL Week 16: Packers vs Bears Betting Preview

December 23, 2011 in Guest Blogger

Brian Urlacher

Can the Bears cover against the Packers?

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It’s a must-win for the Chicago Bears  in Sunday’s lone game this week when they visit Green Bay on Christmas Night. Chicago has to win out to have any chance at a playoff berth but could be eliminated depending on Saturday’s Chargers-Lions game: If the Lions win, the Bears are through. Green Bay, meanwhile, might have nothing to play for. If San Francisco loses on Saturday at Seattle, the Packers will have clinched the NFC’s top seed. Green Bay is aiming to be the top seed in the conference for the first time since 1996.

The Bears have lost four in a row since Jay Cutler went out with a broken thumb. Backup Caleb Hanie was atrocious, throwing three picks in three of those four losses. So he has been dumped for Josh McCown in this one. McCown hasn’t started a game since Dec. 23, 2007, for Oakland against Jacksonville and was completely out of the NFL last season. He threw two passes last week in a late relief role and eight passes total since his last starts. The Bears’ offense has found the end zone just four total times in the past four games. And it will again be without star RB Matt Forte.

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The Bears have had some success rushing the football even with the loss of Forte, gaining 132 yards and averaging 4.3 yards per attempt in Week 15. The Packers have been inconsistent defending the run, yielding 4.7 yards per carry. Look for offensive coordinator Mike Martz to continue to be conservative with his inexperienced quarterback and pound the rock in Week 16. Chicago is making a change at RB, with Marion Barber out due to a calf injury and Kahlil Bell in. The former undrafted free agent from UCLA compiled 133 all-purpose yards in last Sunday’s loss to the Seahawks, including his first-career touchdown on a 25-yard pass from Hanie. The Bears also will be missing WR Johnny Knox, who suffered a scary back injury last week and is sidelined for months.

Green Bay will probably be a bit angry after falling last week in Kansas City to end any hopes of an unbeaten season. That also ended the Packers’ 19-game winning streak. Once tackles Bryan Bulaga and Derek Sherrod went down with leg injuries last week, QB Aaron Rodgers was a target for Chiefs defenders. Packers coach Mike McCarthy had to move guard T.J. Lang to right tackle, and Lang was destroyed by pass-rushing linebacker Tamba Hali. Expect the Bears’ Julius Peppers to rush past Lang and pressure Rodgers. That should force the Packers to go more to a running game in order to protect Rodgers, who won’t have Bulaga or star WR Greg Jennings.

Rodgers, who might not play a full game Sunday, is 6-2 lifetime against the Bears, completing 67.9 percent of his passes for 1,937 yards with 10 TDs and seven interceptions in the series. He was 28 of 38 for 297 yards and three touchdowns in Green Bay’s 27-17 win at Chicago on Sept. 25.

The Packers will be looking to set the franchise record for the most wins in the regular season this Sunday. They have already matched the 13-win totals posted by the team in 1962, 1996, 1997 and 2007.  This will be the fourth meeting between the Packers and Bears in 2011, only the sixth time in NFL history that two franchises have met four or more times in a calendar year.

Green Bay will be looking to become only the second NFL team to beat another club four times in a calendar year (L.A Raiders over Denver, 1994). The Packers beat the Bears in the 2010 season finale at Lambeau Field and the 2010 NFC Championship in Chicago, and also topped Chicago earlier this season in Week 3 at Soldier Field.

  • WAGERWEB.COM NFL Betting — Packers -12 (43.5)
  • RECORD VS. SPREAD — Bears 7-7; Green Bay 9-5
  • SERIES RECORD — Bears lead 92-85-6
  • LAST MEETING — Packers beat Bears 27-17, Sept. 25
  • LAST WEEK — Bears lost to Seahawks 38-14; Packers lost to Chiefs 19-14
  • BEARS OFFENSE — OVERALL (24), RUSH (10), PASS (25)
  • BEARS DEFENSE — OVERALL (17), RUSH (8), PASS (27)
  • PACKERS OFFENSE — OVERALL (4), RUSH (25), PASS (4)
  • PACKERS DEFENSE — OVERALL (31), RUSH (12), PASS (31)

STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES — Packers’ loss at Kansas City last Sunday broke 19-game winning streak and was first loss in nearly a year, having lost at New England on Dec. 19, 2010. … Will be fourth meeting between Bears and Packers in 2011. Two teams faced off in 2010 regular season finale, NFC championship game, and earlier this season. … QB Aaron Rodgers is first Packers player and fifth player overall in NFL history to throw 40-plus touchdowns in season. … Five of WR Jordy Nelson’s 10 touchdowns this season have been for 35-plus yards. … WR Donald Driver has 9,979 yards receiving and needs 21 to become the Packers player with 10,000. … CB Charles Woodson has five interceptions against Bears. Since joining Packers in 2006, Woodson has 37 interceptions and nine interception returns for touchdowns. … Bears would be eliminated from playoff contention with a loss. … Including NFC championship game, Bears LB Brian Urlacher aims for third game in row vs. Packers with an interception. … Bears DE Julius Peppers had sack and fumble recovery in last game vs. Packers. Since entering NFL in 2002, Peppers is tied for third in league with 99 sacks.

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Monday Night Free Pick – Bears vs Eagles

November 7, 2011 in Free Picks

Lesean McCoy

LeSean McCoy is the key to tonight's game.

This a huge game for both teams and a very difficult handicap. These are two up-n-down teams with QBs that can light it up or burn it down. I think Philly has more talent, but I don’t trust them to play together against anyone except Dallas. Chicago seems to thrive in chaotic games thanks to their special teams/defensive take-aways and this game has chaos written all over it. So, the Bears +7.5 looks pretty good, but I’m going to pass on it. Something tells tells me the Eagles are going to be able to run the ball tonight and control the clock like they did last week.

The Bears have struggled all season in their passing game and if they can’t get 3rd down conversions this game will go Under 47, which is my bet for the night. The two most likely scenarios in this game both point to a Under game… Cutler struggles in the passing game and LeSean McCoy see’s lot of action.

Urlacher and Briggs both project out at around 9 tackles tonight as the Eagles provide the 2nd most tackle opportunities in the league. Urlacher’s number is almost always higher than Briggs, so you should see some value in Lance this week. Don’t be scared to play both over if you get a good price on a number like 7.

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NFC Superbowl Best Bets

January 5, 2011 in NFL Playoffs

Enter the Wild Card Week ChallengeThe Chicago Bears are offering great long shot odds to win Super Bowl 45 online betting this season. The Bears, the 2nd seed in the NFC Playoffs, gets a bye and homefield advantage for their very first playoff game in two weeks.

They also could take on a team that they’ve already beaten before and/or is one of the worst teams to ever win an NFL Division, the Seattle Seahawks.

The ‘Hawks won the NFC West. Let’s take a look at the odds on the Bears as well as another team going off at double-digit long shot odds to win Super Bowl 45 from the NFC Conference.

Best Long Shot Bet: Chicago Bears +1200

Da Bears played their butts off trying to keep rival Green Bay out of the playoffs in Week 17 but it just didn’t work out for them. What they showed, however, was incredible heart and guts. I have no idea why the Bears aren’t the second favorite in the NFC, after #1 seeded Atlanta, to win the Super Bowl. Getting 12/1 long shot odds to win Super Bowl 45 on a team that won 7 out of their last 9 games is awesome. Yes, the Bears have issues along their offensive line. Yes, the Bears can implode like when they did when losing to New England 7 to 36, but they also have the 9th ranked defense in the NFL overall and the 2nd ranked D in the league versus the run. They’re worth a look.

Second Best Long Shot Bet: Green Bay Packers +1200

A month ago, when everybody was ga-ga over Philly QB Michael Vick, some even (hilariously!) saying that Vick deserved the league MVP, nobody was predicting that the Packers could beat the Eagles in a playoff game. Not now. Green Bay goes to Philadelphia this weekend as the #6 seed in the playoffs. They’re also only a 2 ½ point dog meaning that odds makers believe that many football handicappers will back GB on Sunday. I’m one of those football handicappers. Green Bay isn’t just a good bet to beat Philly on Sunday, but they’re a dynamite bet to win the whole enchilada at +1200 long shot odds to win Super Bowl 45. They beat the Eagles 27 to 20 this season. They should have beaten Atlanta, their likely second round opponent after they beat the Eagles this Sunday, on Nov. 28th in a 17 to 20 loss. They can handle the Saints or Bears and they almost upset the New England Patriots straight up as 14 point dogs, with QB Matt Flynn under center and not Aaron Rodgers, in 27 to 31 loss on Dec. 19th.

Stay Away From: Seattle Seahawks +8000

You have to love the long shot football betting odds to win Super Bowl 45 on Seattle, +8000, right? Actually, no. The ‘Hawks take on New Orleans this Saturday as 10 ½ point dogs. The Saints thumped them 34 to 19 in mid-November. Let’s say they get past the champs. Then, they face either #1 seeded Atlanta, a team that beat them 34 to 18 on Dec. 19th or the Chicago Bears. Sure, they beat the Bears this season, but the ‘Hawks victory over Chicago occurred way back in October and Da Bears are a much better team now than they were then. When the Arizona Cardinals made their Super Bowl run, they had a guy named Kurt Warner playing QB for them.

Who will Seattle have under center? Charlie Whitehurst or Matt Hasselbeck. The Seahawks have no shot to win Super Bowl 45.

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