Monday Night Free Picks – Giants vs Rams
September 19, 2011 in Free Picks
Tonight’s game between the Rams and Giants -8 is a tough one for handicappers, I’m not sure we learned anything about either team in week 1 and there a few injuries to consider. I think Sam Bradford is the key to the game. IF he’s healthy St Louis will resort to it’s passing attack exclusively since Jackson is probably out. I’m usually not a fan of pass heavy attacks, but the Giants secondary is terrible and Bradford’s short passing attack should be able to beat the pass rush. Considering the Giants conservative offense will likely keep the Rams in the game, I think a shot at +280 on the Rams is a pretty good play. Personally, I’m going to skip playing the sides and go with a prop. Betting lines from 5Dimes.
J.Laurinaitis solo+assists tackles OVER 6½ (-130)
JLau was over 7 in 10 of 16 games last year and he projects out at 11 tonight. For the new subscribers/readers, betting tackle props is heavily dependent on the defensive scheme and how many tackle opportunities are available. Against the Giants JLau should have plenty of chances and he’s proven to be one of the more talented young LBs in the league, so I don’t mind laying the -130 and watching him cover the number by halftime. Tonight’s best play.
A.Rolle solo+assisted tackles ov/un 5½
5½ is a pretty good number for Antrel Rolle, unless you get a price of +130 or more it’s probably not worth betting. If you got him going (or against) tonight in FF and HAVE to play him… I’d lean towards the under. Kenny Phillips will most likely be in the box more tonight which will allow Rolle some freedom to roam and look for big plays.
norm said on September 19, 2011
Hakeem Nicks over/under is 72.5 yds. What do you think about that one?
nflpickspro said on September 19, 2011
I could be wishy-washy about Nicks, but i’ll go out on a limb instead… Under 72.5 is a better play tonight. Nicks got 11 targets in week 1 and I doubt he’ll see that many again this week due to the Rams adjusting the coverage (Nicks was the only offensive threat last week, what would you do if you’re the Rams d-coordinator). I also don’t trust that tweaked knee to be 100% for 4 quarters.
TERRY said on September 19, 2011
i like Eli over 256 passing yds. money line -125
thoughts?
nflpickspro said on September 19, 2011
terry-
I really don’t like Eli over 256, mainly because the Giant’s O-line was terrible against Washington and the Rams got to Vick often in Week 1. And… I suspect we’ll see a lot of Bradshaw & Jacobs tonight.
That being said… I’m almost always wrong about Eli and smart enough to realize it, so tell me why Eli goes off tonight.
TERRY said on September 19, 2011
Rams are banged up arn’t they i think it’s a must win situation the the g men as well
i usually take the points when in doubt
norm said on September 19, 2011
Nice call on JLau over 6.5!!! Covered by halftime just like you called it.